Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.003763 0.004112 0.004486 0.004917 0.005402 0.005932 0.006558
2025-11-02 0.003131 0.003611 0.004162 0.004845 0.005676 0.006663 0.007937
2025-11-09 0.002798 0.003344 0.004000 0.004856 0.005957 0.007346 0.009264
2025-11-16 0.002532 0.003110 0.003829 0.004805 0.006118 0.007858 0.010401
2025-11-23 0.002305 0.002894 0.003649 0.004708 0.006186 0.008231 0.011370
2025-11-30 0.002174 0.002786 0.003592 0.004757 0.006445 0.008878 0.012804
2025-12-07 0.002095 0.002737 0.003606 0.004899 0.006841 0.009756 0.014704
2025-12-14 0.001961 0.002602 0.003487 0.004836 0.006919 0.010156 0.015884
2025-12-21 0.001833 0.002465 0.003352 0.004735 0.006925 0.010433 0.016886
2025-12-28 0.001734 0.002362 0.003259 0.004685 0.007002 0.010828 0.018145
2026-01-04 0.001667 0.002300 0.003220 0.004715 0.007206 0.011454 0.019920
2026-01-11 0.001583 0.002207 0.003129 0.004652 0.007247 0.011795 0.021193
2026-01-18 0.001506 0.002125 0.003052 0.004616 0.007345 0.012274 0.022887
2026-01-25 0.001428 0.002036 0.002961 0.004549 0.007385 0.012657 0.024468
2026-02-01 0.001373 0.001981 0.002919 0.004559 0.007562 0.013323 0.026802
2026-02-08 0.001312 0.001910 0.002846 0.004512 0.007627 0.013772 0.028725
2026-02-15 0.001246 0.001830 0.002754 0.004422 0.007601 0.014029 0.030235
2026-02-22 0.001212 0.001798 0.002739 0.004468 0.007841 0.014877 0.033436
2026-03-01 0.001196 0.001794 0.002770 0.004599 0.008264 0.016183 0.038204
2026-03-08 0.001147 0.001734 0.002702 0.004540 0.008291 0.016599 0.040573
2026-03-15 0.001096 0.001667 0.002619 0.004447 0.008237 0.016816 0.042414
2026-03-22 0.001056 0.001618 0.002563 0.004402 0.008280 0.017273 0.045121
2026-03-29 0.001030 0.001591 0.002545 0.004429 0.008484 0.018157 0.049471